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The preliminary quantitative description of epidemic intensity in enzootic plague based on information entropy theory
GE Jun-qi, LI Jing-hui, MA Yong-kang, GONG Zheng-da
Abstract259)      PDF (479KB)(714)      
Objective To explore the feasibility using information entropy formula to measure the epidemic intensity of enzootic plague. Methods The epidemic intensity formula named I a for enzootic plague based on the information entropy formula was proposed, and used to calculate the epidemic intensity of hypothetical data in 8 epidemic foci (the number of township ≥ 8). The spearman correlation coefficient of the epidemic intensity between Yingjiang and Longchuan counties during 1982-2005 was calculated. Results The epidemic intensity of the hypothetical data showed that the epidemic intensity was the smallest (0.288) when 8 foci were concentrated in 1 townships, while the largest (2.079) when 8 townships each had 1 epidemic focus; with the same foci, the more townships involved in the epidemic, the greater the prevalence intensity. The largest epidemic intensity of Yingjiang (2.107) and Longchuan (1.642) were discovered in 1995 and 1990 respectively; the biggest epidemic intensity of Yingjiang appeared in 1995 (I a=2.107), rather than in 1993 (I a=1.885) with the most epidemic foci. The correlation coefficient of epidemic intensity in two counties was 0.301 ( P=0.150), which showed that there was no statistical correlation. Conclusion The formula verified by simulated and actual data is proved to be able to describe the features of complexity and hierarchical structure of plague epidemic, and make possible the comparisons of epidemic intensity temporally and spatially.
2018, 29 (5): 439-441.    doi: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2018.05.004
The  reporting of dead rodents in the monitor and control of commensal rodent plague
LI Jing-Hui, MA Yong-Kang, LI Gui-Chang, LI Tian-Yuan, LIU Jing-Li, WANG Guo-Liang, GE Jun-Qi, LI Jun-Yong, YU Dong-Zheng, DONG Xing-Qi
Abstract1341)      PDF (324KB)(926)      

【Abstract】 Objective To deeply know the role of the reporting of dead rodents in the monitering and control of commensal rodent plague and its cooperation with linking surveillance method. Methods  (1)To compare and analyze the function of dead rodents reporting and three plague?risk indicators reporting on the timely finding of the plague in rodents. (2)To analyze the relationship between dead rodents reporting and linking surveillance method and study the function of the latter. Results (1) The reporting of dead rodents contributes to, and other two plague?risk indicators reporting has no relation to the detection of commensal rodent plague among rodents.(2)The two HD techniques in monitoring and control system of commensal rodent plague are dead rodents reporting and linking surveillance method, of which, the former is mainly in charge of the detection of the plague among rodents in time, and the latter has two roles, namely both decreasing and founding the epidemic foci among rodents, especially in decreasing them. Conclusion The emphasis should be put on the popularization of 2HD technique in order to detect and control rodent plague in time in the monitoring and control of commensal rodent plague, and at the same time,  the reporting of three plague?risk indicator should be understood and treated correctly.

2009, 20 (1): 48-50.
An incidence mode function on commensal rodent plague and the linking surveillance method
LI Jing-hui; MA Yong-kang; LI Gui-chang; LI Tian-yuan; LIU Jing-li; WANG Guo-liang; GE Jun-qi; LI Jun-yong; YU Dong-zheng; DONG Xing-qi
Abstract1114)      PDF (236KB)(748)      
Objective To know deeply the incidence mechanism of commensal rodent plague and scientifically work out or choose appropriate surveillance and control measures.Methods The transmission route from rodents to humans of commensal rodent plague was expressed by mathematical language to show up the inherent relations among the decisive factors,and its relevant monitoring methods were analyzed and compared.Results(1)An incidence mode function of the plague was derived.(2) The linking surveillance method was more effective than the parallel surveillance method,and the former was more accordant with the epidemiology principles,the statistics requirements and the "benefit-cost ratio" requirement because of its smaller workload.Conclusion(1)The incidence mode function on commensal rodent plague disclosed the inherent relations among the decisive factors of the disease,and had the important guide function and wide application prospects to its prevention and control.(2)The linking surveillance method should be suited to the surveillance of plague compared to the parallel surveillance method.
Study on the Control Effect of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome by Ecological Measures in Low Mouse Density Area
JIANG Fa-chun; SONG Ming-liang; YU Shi-de; SU Hang; GAO Ru-qin; LI Jing-hui
Abstract1182)      PDF (567KB)(654)      
Objective Study on the effect of controlling hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome(HFRS) with ecological measures. Methods To form good hygiene practice by the way of health education. Facilities against the mouse could be perfected by making use of net and hard ground. The mouse density could be well controlled by optimizing the environment. To appraise the effect of control measures by monitoring the mouse activity and HFRS condition. Results The average rate of mouse capture in the three trial regions ranged from 0.53% to 1.04%,peak HFRS cases occurred in ecological regions. Conclusion Ecological measures do not achieved distinctive effect in the regions with relatively advanced economy,low mouse density and most sporadic HFRS cases.
An Investigation on the Manners of Finding Out Commensal Rodent Plague Foci Amid Animals in Yunnan Province in 1999-2004
LI Gui-chang*; MA Yong-kang; LI Jing-hui; et al
Abstract1103)      PDF (117KB)(668)      
Objective To study the main way of discovering commensal rodent plague foci amid host rodents in Yunnan province in 1999-2004. Methods The proportion of the foci detected with trapped rodents was compared with that of the self-dead rodents,and the self-dead rodent reporting rates were compared of different places and different years,in which different numbers of human plague cases occurred in Yunnan province in 1999-2004. Results Of all the foci those detected with self-dead rodent test reach 89.6%,whereas those detected with trapped rodent test only account for 10.4%. The self-dead rodent reporting rates in the counties or years with more human plague cases were significantly lower than those with less human plague cases. Conclusion The foci of rodent plague were found out mainly by self-dead rodent test in Yunnan province in 1999-2004,and self-dead rodent reporting was the main way to detect the foci.
A Field Trial of Integrated Commensal Rodent Management with Ecological Measures Playing A Leading Role in the Residential Quarters of the Urban Area──Ⅰ. Analysis of Main Results
Li Jing-hui*; Yue Mu-sheng; Liu Qi-yong; et al
Abstract1023)      PDF (1361KB)(626)      
A field trial lasting for 2 years was carried out through setting up three areas,plain area (control), rodenticide area (control), and test area in Tianmen, Hubei to explore the way.ofcommensal rodent management in residential quarters of urban areas.The results showed that applying integrated management with ecological measures playing a leading role could achieve a similar or even better effect than using rodenticides against commensal rodents,not only to bring therodent problem under control,but also to abate or avoid the side effects and defects of the lattersuch as environmental pollution,poisoning by mistaken feed or secondary poisoning,a shorter duration of effect,rodenticide tolerance and resistance and consuming a great deal of manpower,monetory means and material resources,etc.